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Hammers chances of CL dwindling – Study

A study from FiveThirtyEight has confirmed that West Ham’s chances of finishing in the Champions League are more remote than ever.

The data analysts at the website put together a consistently evolving league table in which every team’s chances of qualifying for Europe, as well as avoiding relegation, and potentially winning the league, are assessed.

After the weekend’s fixtures, the Hammers now have a lower than 1% chance of finishing in the top four.

FiveThirtyEight actually believe that the Irons will finish seventh in the Premier League come the end of the season.

By comparison, Chelsea are expected to finish third behind Manchester City and Liverpool – Pep Guardiola’s side are the favourites to win the title – while Spurs are being backed to finish fourth, with a 64% chance.

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Arsenal have a 32% chance of finishing fourth, while Manchester United’s chances are ranked at 4%.

Elsewhere, in the bottom three, they expect Norwich to finish bottom, Watford to finish 19th, and Burnley to finish 18th.

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About Dave Langton

A journalist with 10 years' experience of working on National newspapers, now chief reporter covering the club that I've loved since I was a boy. Upton Park remains the greatest football stadium ever built.

2 comments on “Hammers chances of CL dwindling – Study

  1. Never expected a top 4 would be disappointed with 7th need 6th IMHO but if we win Europa that would negate the league finish

  2. Did FiveThirtyEight predict that Arsenal would get hammered at Crystal Palace? Or that Spurs would lose at home to Brighton? Most likely not. There will be a few surprising results over the next five weeks. Data logic isn’t reality. If it were applied to West Ham before last season, a mid table place finish would probanly have been predicted – instead we ended up 6th. Whilst I personally don’t think we’ll get into 4th place – especially if we’re in the EL final – it is still possible. With Arsenal’s, Tottenham’s, and Man United’s scores are as unpredictable as our own, I don’t believe that the current top seven teams will finiah in the positions that FiveThirtyEight are saying.

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