Expected goals (xG) is a football metric, which allows you to correctly evaluate team and player performance.
At understat.com they believe that in a low-scoring game such as football, final match score does not provide a clear picture of performance.
They say more and more sports analytics turn to the advanced models like xG, which is a statistical measure of the quality of chances created and conceded.
Here’s how the current Premier League table looks according to their methods West Ham’s expected points total is 9.84 (+1.84)
It says Liverpool should top the expected points table with 12.68 points (-0.32) Everton’s should be second on an expected points total is 11.19 (-1.81)
Third-placed should Spurs on an expected points total is is 10.66 (-0.34) Brighton’s are a lofty fourth with an expected points total of 9.96 (+4.96)
Behind West Ham in sixth is Chelsea on an expected points total is 9.55 (+0.55) with Leicester City 7th on an expected points total is 9.06 (-2.94)
Football is a game played on grass. the team getting the most goals gets the points. We are 12th. Never read so much garbage !!
Office of National Statistics collate information like this, too. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. I’ve got us top of the league – the rest are nowhere and I don’t care about them.
Thing is – it is what it is and that’s life.
I also know that I should be a multi-millionaire if these circumstances were acquired by those that deserved them.
Thing is – it is what it is and that’s life.
COYI
These figures show the Irons are generally creating more chances than they are conceding, and are the 5th best team in the league at doing so. Personally I think this is very positive news, especially when you consider the teams we’ve played so far this season.
COYI.
It is great that we are creating more chances than our opponents. It is bad that we aren’t finishing enough of them to get the points! I’m assuming that Moyes eventually realised that, so we’ve bought Benrahma in the expectation that he’ll score more of the chances than Fornals.