West Ham has a 20% chance of relegation this season when the difficulty of the remaining fixtures are calculated a new Sky Sports graphic shows.
Norwich City have a 95% chance of relegation while Aston Villa has nearly a 70% chance despite having a game in hand.
Bournemouth is the third team most likely to be relegated based on the remaining fixtures with over 63% chance of going down.
The fourth team with the biggest chance of relegation is Watford with a 32% chance.
West Ham are rated the fifth most likely club to go down with a 20.4% followed by Brighton on 16.4%, Newcastle on 1.5% and Southampton 1.1%
The prediction shows how unfair a weighed points per game method would be for the Hammers if the season was cancelled.
West Ham is set to resume football in June playing remaining fixtures at home at the London Stadium and away behind closed doors as the threat of playing at neutrals seems to be fading.
In reality you can’t take anything that happened prior to the break as being the expected form.
It’s like a new season, players will be back from Injury who were going to be out for the season plus others will not be match fit.
Playing behind closed doors will also help the clubs under pressure as the supporters won’t be on their backs when struggling.
It’s a complete lottery if they re start.
I personally don’t think whatever happens will be right, there will be court cases galore as each side feels hard done by in some way. It’s not only relegation but those pushing for Europe in either CL or Europa places, Liverpool will go mad if it’s null and void as will Leeds and West Brom. If it’s stopped now those in relegation will sue as they feel they could have got out of it. We wont go into the weighted points system that will see us relegated and if we do restart as Dave rightly says the flow of the season has gone and the players that were out will be back and those that were performing well may now be back to pre season levels. The integrity of the league this season has gone no matter what the outcome and all I can say is I am glad it’s not up to me.