Sunday afternoon promises to be a nerve‑shredder for both Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham supporters. Both clubs head into the final day with everything on the line, and our North London rivals hold the advantage, a single point against Everton is all they need to survive.
Historically, Spurs have dominated this fixture at home.
Using data from Transfer Markt in Premier League only clashes (67) Spurs lead with 32 wins to Everton’s 10, alongside 25 draws. Goals stand at 111–65.
Recent results underline the trend:
- Spurs 3–0 Everton (Oct 2025)
- Everton 3–2 Spurs (Jan 2025)
- Spurs 4–0 Everton (Aug 2024)
The numbers show Spurs consistently outscore Everton and have controlled this matchup throughout the Premier League era.
But West Ham do have one sliver of hope, Tottenham’s dreadful home form.
Spurs home form has been abysmal.. still time for one last twist?
Just 2 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats, an 11% win rate with 21 goals scored and 31 conceded. They average only 0.67 points per home game and have kept just two clean sheets in 18 home fixtures.
Losing 10 of their last 18 at home tells its own story. Spurs are chasing only their third home win of the entire season.
For West Ham, the task is simple: win, and pray that David Moyes the “Moyesiah” can conjure something at White Hart Lane.
But even with Leeds’ injuries, any West Ham fan treating three points as a formality is mistaken.
Recent clashes include:
- Apr 2026 (FA Cup): 2–2, Leeds win on penalties
- Oct 2025: Leeds 2–1 West Ham
- May 2023: West Ham 3–1 Leeds
- Jan 2023: Leeds 2–2 West Ham
In the Premier League, for the home fixture, Leeds lead with 7 wins to West Ham’s 3 and 3 draws.
Our home form has been poor, but still far better than Spurs.
5 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses from 18 home games, scoring 24 and conceding 30.
That’s 1.06 points per home match, with 16 of 18 home games failing to produce a clean sheet and an average of 1.67 goals conceded per match.
I’ve already published my predictions in a previous article, calling Chelsea 2–1 and correctly suggesting Newcastle would beat us (even if I went for 2–1). For the final day, I went with a 2–1 Spurs win and a 1–1 draw for West Ham.
Naturally, I want to be wrong, and I’ll be hoping the Wi‑Fi at the London Stadium holds up, because misinformation and VAR will no doubt try their best to ruin our afternoon!
COYI!
Yep, unfortunately I have exactly same score predictions as you, Matt.
Like a large number of fans, really past caring while Sullivan is in control of this club.
If we stay up we’ll just be treading water, as usual.
Until a complete reset happens from top to bottom there is nothing to look forward to.
As Gonzo posted recently, we’re not even prepared for Championship as Sullivan is
just a clueless lost cause.