Expected goals (xG) is a football metric, which allows you to correctly evaluate team and player performance.
At understat.com they believe that in a low-scoring game such as football, final match score does not provide a clear picture of performance.
They say more and more sports analytics turn to the advanced models like xG, which is a statistical measure of the quality of chances created and conceded.
Here’s how the current Premier League table looks according to their methods West Ham’s expected points total is 9.84 (+1.84)
It says Liverpool should top the expected points table with 12.68 points (-0.32) Everton’s should be second on an expected points total is 11.19 (-1.81)
Third-placed should Spurs on an expected points total is is 10.66 (-0.34) Brighton’s are a lofty fourth with an expected points total of 9.96 (+4.96)
Behind West Ham in sixth is Chelsea on an expected points total is 9.55 (+0.55) with Leicester City 7th on an expected points total is 9.06 (-2.94)