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West Ham Promotion Pressure Grows After Rivals Snatch Late Winners

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West Ham United have dropped to fifth in the Championship without kicking a ball after Swansea City and Middlesbrough both secured dramatic late victories on Tuesday night. The results leave Nuno Espírito Santo’s Hammers seven points behind the league leaders ahead of tonight’s trip to Lincoln City.

Swansea snatched a 1-0 victory at Millwall through a 90th-minute Ronald winner, while Middlesbrough secured all three points at Stoke City thanks to Neto Borges scoring in the 91st minute. Both clubs are beginning to build a gap over West Ham, who have drawn their last two Championship fixtures.

The situation is not yet desperate, particularly with the Hammers having played one game fewer than both promotion rivals. However, tonight’s match at Lincoln and Saturday’s visit to Swansea are beginning to look like fixtures Nuno simply cannot afford to get wrong.

West Ham’s promotion rivals refuse to blink

Swansea now have 23 points from ten matches, with Middlesbrough just two points behind on 21. West Ham remain on 16 points from nine games, while Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion have also moved above us following victories last night.

Meanwhile, Wolves suffered another defeat, losing 3-1 at home to Bolton Wanderers. Birmingham’s 4-0 victory over Preston was another result worth noting, with the Blues emerging as potential promotion contenders.

What concerns me most is that Swansea and Middlesbrough are finding ways to win matches that could easily have finished level.

Draws are absolutely fine when they’re punctuating winning form. What isn’t acceptable for a club chasing the title is consecutive draws, particularly when your closest rivals are collecting maximum points.

Nuno Espírito Santo made a major West Ham midfield selection decision ahead of the Championship clash with Lincoln

Nuno Espírito Santo oversees West Ham training at Rush Green ahead of two very important games

West Ham face two games that could change everything

I’ve never been particularly keen on labelling every other fixture a must-win match. However, I genuinely believe West Ham’s next two games fall into that category, even if the mathematics suggest otherwise.

Swansea were never my favourites to win the Championship this season, and they still aren’t. Nevertheless, we simply cannot allow them to build such a substantial advantage at the top of the division.

Beat Lincoln tonight and Swansea on Saturday, and West Ham will have 22 points from 11 matches. That’s exactly two points per game, which represents a projected 92-point season.

Suddenly, the promotion picture would look considerably healthier.

But lose tonight, or fail to beat Lincoln and then follow it with another poor result against Swansea, and I believe Nuno Espírito Santo will come under immense pressure. Indeed, I suspect there would be genuine calls for him to be sacked.

As I argued in yesterday’s Lincoln City match preview, the situation could change very quickly in either direction.

Win both games and I don’t even think Nuno’s future will be a conversation. The recent criticism will largely disappear, and West Ham will be back on the sort of points-per-game average expected of an automatic promotion contender.

Fail to respond, however, and those seven points separating us from Swansea will start to look increasingly uncomfortable.

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Kris Gonzo (commonly known to the West Ham community as Gonzo) is the co-founder of Hammers Chat (established 2014) and the lead video content creator and columnist for Claret and Hugh.

With over a decade of professional sports media experience, he is a frequent West Ham United analyst and contributor for Sky Sports News, BBC Football Focus, and BBC Radio 5 Live. He previously served as an official video and content creator for West Ham United FC during the club's tenure at Upton Park and featured in the official documentary commemorating the historic final game at the Boleyn Ground.

A lifelong Hammer since the legendary 10-0 victory over Bury, when he isn't providing daily match analysis on the Hammers Chat YouTube Channel or broadcasting on X (@GONZObignose), he can be found walking his dog and restoring classic pinball machines.

6 comments

  • Tony says:

    So…if I understand it correctly, winning is good and losing is bad? 🙂

    If we win both of these games, that won’t end the speculation on Nuno. Every lean spell will result in talk about Nuno’s approach to games.

    However, it’s a long season – not winning both of these is a recoverable position.

  • Saul says:

    If Taty’s penalty against Charlton hadn’t hit the post we’d be unbeaten. Lots of ‘if’s’ in this game, isn’t there!

    As if Kretinsky would care if there are calls for Nuno to be sacked if we don’t get anything out of these games. He’s not a knee jerk owner, as we have seen already. I’m sure he didn’t get where he was by listening to people throwing their toys out of their prams when things aren’t going the way they want them to be!!

  • Jeeps says:

    Nuno speaks many repetitive words but its action that’s needed.
    Clean sheets would also help

  • Gazza says:

    Bit early in the season to be pressing the panic button Gonzo. This is an extremely competitive league where any team can beat any other team. I suspect that had Bowen converted his penalty against QPR this piece probably wouldn’t have been penned. 37 games to go which should favour the better quality teams with a large squad to fall back on, rising to the top over the longer term. COYI!

  • Carrick hammer says:

    Could be a 10 point gap after Saturday if results go badly for us

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